Proverbs are pocket‑sized IF‑statements: folk pseudocode that ships the trigger but hides the ELSE.
To find alpha: treat the proverb as true, then ask what happens in the missing branch.
1 RECIPROCITY
The sayings in this bucket assume social payoffs are maximized when inputs and outputs match.
“Treat others as you wish to be treated.”
Implication: The way they treat you is the way they want to be treated by you.
Mirror their style. Tell stories to the storyteller. Ask the question-asker questions. Criticize the critic.
Warm feedback? Great. Cold recoil? You are in a non-reciprocal setting.
“Give credit where credit is due.”
Implication: Undue credit is a loan. Expect to repay it.
When you receive unearned praise, log it as an attempted leverage hook. Bank the flattery, audit the motive, and don’t accept the IOU until verified.
“Honesty is the best policy.”
Implication: Dishonesty harms somewhere. Figure out where.
Map the system by modeling precisely how dishonesty would destroy you. Failure points reveal where the policy actually matters.
“Absence makes the heart grow fonder.”
Implication: If your heart’s not fonder, they weren’t absent enough.
Too-near absence is just muted presence. Extend the gap until longing spikes, or no-one cares anymore. Clarity either way.
Anyone who enacts one of these norms is broadcasting a personal desire. Echo to confirm; if they recoil, you’ve unmasked a performance.
2 THRESHOLDS
These proverbs embed a hidden boundary, x ≥ k, beyond which the advice reverses.
“A bird in the hand is worth two in the bush.”
Implication: A bird in the hand is worth less than three in the bush.
The risk‑adjusted math flips once the opportunity is big enough. Trade away the sure thing.
“A picture is worth a thousand words.”
Implication: A picture is worth less than ten thousand words.
When a 10,000‑word technical doc costs pennies to create, store, and search, prefer text. Pictures smuggle ambiguity.
“Look before you leap.”
Implication: If others are leaping, assume they looked.
A mass of people already leaping marks discovered value. Verify quickly, then jump while uncertainty is still cheap.
“No pain, no gain.”
Implication: If there’s no gain, there should be no pain.
Discomfort untracked by progress is malpractice. Make sure your pain is paying you.
There is a point beyond which proverbial guidance still applies, but in reverse. Locate that point; once crossed, do the opposite.
3 SIGNALING
Here the wisdom isn’t about truth, but about the heuristics people use to guess at truth.
“The grass is always greener on the other side.”
Implication: Your grass looks greener to them.
If outsiders envy your lawn, sell them the fertilizer. Monetize their projection.
“Actions speak louder than words.”
Implication: Pay attention to unexplained actions.
Quiet, decisive moves can shout the loudest. Big promises with limp follow‑through are noise.
“Slow and steady wins the race.”
Implication: Anyone cruising at turtle pace thinks they’re in an endurance match.
Either sprint early and finish before their compounding hits, or start selling gatorade to both tortoises and hares.
“Birds of a feather flock together.”
Implication: Change your feathers, change your flock.
Change your visible signals first (clothes, jargon, writing topics) and your network will reconfigure around the new feathers
“Those in glass houses shouldn’t throw stones.”
Implication: If you don’t live in a glass house, feel free to throw stones.
If you’ve bullet‑proofed your own reputation, stone‑throwing can be an offensive moat. Fragility is the real glass.
Play with the heuristic to change the game.
CALL FOR CONTRARIAN MAXIMS
Know a proverb that evades these buckets? Drop it in the comments. Let’s find its ELSE together.
Fun! "Beware what you wish for because you might just get it". Anything jump out at you besides adverse selection?